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Monitoring but,
development is questionable?
Monitoring closely!
LOW <0-30%
Storm Potential
MEDIUM 30-50%
Storm Potential
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Storm Potential
FLOODS
Potential for Flooding
ATLANTIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: 

1. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 19N40W TO 09N40W AND IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE NORTHERN PART OF THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER WHICH IS INHIBITING CONVECTION. ALONG THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE WAVE A DEEP LAYER MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 31W-40W. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE IS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE. SEE LATEST NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATWOAT/ABNT20 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...NHC

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS INCREASED THIS AFTERNOON, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


N/A...RTW
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2. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 19N87W TO 08N87W AND IS MOVING W 20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER NICARAGUA...EASTERN HONDURAS...AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS...NHC

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

Note:
Blue color text is courtesy of The National Hurricane Center/ Tropical Prediction Center. (NHC)

Peach color text is courtesy of Ralph's Tropical Weather. (RTW)


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...MONITORING A STORNG WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WHICH HAS A GOOD CHANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...RTW
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Storm Potential Legend
   LOW <0-30%   MED 30-50%     HIGH >50
1.
2.
1024 mb
998 mb
1010 mb
1020 mb
1026 mb
<<SAHARA AIR LAYER (DRY/DUST)
Mid to Upper level low
1017 mb
MED
30%
1011 mb