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Monitoring but,
development is questionable?
Monitoring closely!
LOW <0-30%
Storm Potential
MEDIUM 30-50%
Storm Potential
HIGH >50%
Storm Potential
FLOODS
Flooding possible
for this area
ATLANTIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DISCUSSION: 

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1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE AND A COLD FRONT.  THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, AND REDEVELOPMENT, IF ANY, WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR WHILE THE DISTURBANCE MEANDERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE..NHC                                         

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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2. ...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                          

A 1003 MB LOW IS CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 27N71.5W. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS NE FROM THE LOW TO 30N65W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW TO 24N75W TO 22N78.5W. A GALE IS WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW...AND WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW. THE LOW IS FORECAST BE AT 31N62W IN 24 HOURS WITH WINDS BELOW GALE.  PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...NHC                                         

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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3. ...TROPICAL WAVE...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN EXTENDING FROM 17N73W TO 11N74W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS AT THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND IS MOSTLY VOID
OF CONVECTION. THIS WAVE WILL BE ABSORBED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS BY THE LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM PRESENTLY OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...NHC                                         

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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4. ...TROPICAL WAVE...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDING FROM 14N54W TO 8N55W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SSMI TPW AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS WAVE TO BE LOW AMPLITUDE AND EMBEDDED IN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 50W-58W...NHC                                         

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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5. ...TROPICAL WAVE...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDING FROM 17N45W TO 6N45W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SSMI TPW AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS WAVE TO BE EMBEDDED IN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-17N BETWEEN 37W-50W...NHC                        

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

Note:
Blue color text is courtesy of The National Hurricane Center/ Tropical Prediction Center. (NHC)

Peach color text is courtesy of Ralph's Tropical Weather. (RTW)


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THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THE ATLANTIC, CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...RTW
GALE FORCE
Winds from
34 to 40 knots
A Slight Redesign
A total Redesign
Tropical Depression
T. Storm
Hurricane
T. Storm Warning
Hurricane Warning
2.
Storm Potential Legend
   LOW <0-30%   MED 30-50%     HIGH >50
3.
1019 mb
1013 mb
1022 mb
991  mb
4.
LOW
10%
1003 mb
1015 mb
1016 mb
5.
1008 mb
1010 mb
1.
992  mb