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Click symbols on map for more storm development information and graphics...RTW
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Monitoring but,
development is questionable?
Monitoring closely!
LOW <0-30%
Storm Potential
MEDIUM 30-50%
Storm Potential
HIGH >50%
Storm Potential
FLOODS
Potential for Flooding
ATLANTIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: 

1. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA ON FRIDAY. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN


There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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2. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS JUST WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDING FROM 20N24W TO 10N26W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ARE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION AT THE TIME...NHC

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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3. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N34W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ARE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...THUS INHIBITING CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY...NHC

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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4. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
...NHC

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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5. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 19N68W TO 10N68W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE
SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 15N EAST OF 71W...NHC

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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6. HURRICANE CRISTOBAL                                            




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7. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION.  THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS ALSO DIMINISHED SOME SINCE THIS MORNING.  HOWEVER, SOME LIMITED DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

...NHC

There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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9. ...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            

N/A...NHC

Models continue to suggest that a low will track across the Caribbean and possibly develop when it enters the BOC (Bay of Campeche) Southern Gulf of Mexico.  There are no signs of organization at this time...RTW
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Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

Note:
Blue color text is courtesy of The National Hurricane Center/ Tropical Prediction Center. (NHC)

Peach color text is courtesy of Ralph's Tropical Weather. (RTW)


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Storm Potential Legend
   LOW <0-30%   MED 30-50%     HIGH >50
1.
1027 mb
1020 mb
1023 mb
1000 mb
H. CRISTOBAL
5:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 27
Location: 32.7°N 71.4°W
Moving: NNE at 15 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph
2.
3.
LOW
0%
4.
1019 mb
5.
1020 mb
1007mb
1024 mb
X
LOW
20%
6.
1024 mb
7.
8.
1017 mb
1021 mb
1011 mb
1011 mb
1020mb